Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.818226 1.979179 2.150390 2.346495 2.565418 2.802882 3.080727
2026-02-01 1.542903 1.756528 1.996911 2.288981 2.636315 3.038719 3.543919
2026-02-08 1.370708 1.611887 1.894639 2.253627 2.701577 3.247838 3.973289
2026-02-15 1.252236 1.511074 1.824689 2.237394 2.773325 3.455769 4.407046
2026-02-22 1.186287 1.464537 1.811700 2.283570 2.919103 3.761584 4.991043
2026-03-01 1.107933 1.393774 1.759179 2.269497 2.978448 3.951371 5.429366
2026-03-08 1.033753 1.321696 1.697613 2.235211 3.002800 4.089348 5.801261
2026-03-15 0.955225 1.237914 1.613531 2.161575 2.962576 4.127121 6.021318
2026-03-22 0.914647 1.202336 1.591791 2.172303 3.042369 4.344619 6.538473
2026-03-29 0.886825 1.182089 1.589172 2.208918 3.161386 4.629360 7.192745
2026-04-05 0.858516 1.159077 1.580513 2.234847 3.264432 4.895981 7.844986
2026-04-12 0.829738 1.133480 1.566065 2.250103 3.350471 5.140720 8.485503
2026-04-19 0.797970 1.102515 1.542831 2.251611 3.416785 5.362629 9.121017
2026-04-26 0.755425 1.053533 1.489945 2.202927 3.396513 5.434295 9.483791
2026-05-03 0.720436 1.013995 1.449050 2.170323 3.399862 5.546106 9.936115
2026-05-10 0.692368 0.983462 1.420199 2.155040 3.430944 5.709214 10.510555
2026-05-17 0.680172 0.976433 1.427306 2.199140 3.568551 6.080500 11.567722
2026-05-24 0.655915 0.949521 1.401423 2.185720 3.601569 6.255873 12.226997
2026-05-31 0.629138 0.917459 1.365651 2.153004 3.596419 6.355661 12.730076
2026-06-07 0.596219 0.874373 1.310077 2.082717 3.516227 6.298671 12.863106
2026-06-14 0.581681 0.859978 1.300720 2.092959 3.588593 6.557047 13.780624
2026-06-21 0.572785 0.854216 1.305225 2.127910 3.710723 6.930153 15.039303
2026-06-28 0.562378 0.845499 1.304250 2.152657 3.814406 7.274188 16.283335